This is a thread specifically for the war, not a general megathread (use the pinned /c/genzedong thread for that).
Please keep related news in this thread rather than making separate posts. Remember to include sources and avoid spreading rumours.
This is a thread specifically for the war, not a general megathread (use the pinned /c/genzedong thread for that).
Please keep related news in this thread rather than making separate posts. Remember to include sources and avoid spreading rumours.
Expand article (part two)
The war in West Asia is currently the only regional war. When the US and Israel attacked Iran, Iran retaliated by striking Israel and US military bases in Arab countries around the Persian Gulf. Alongside Iran, Hezbollah in Lebanon, Ansar Allah in Yemen, and Shia militias in Iraq immediately joined the anti-US and anti-Israel struggle. The war in Ukraine is still a conflict within a single country, and the war in East Asia has not yet begun. However, it is only a matter of time before wars in East Asia and Eastern Europe—the second and third regional wars—break out.
In October 2023, the war in Palestine quickly expanded into a broader war in West Asia. Hezbollah in Lebanon and Ansar Allah in Yemen joined in, and there were also clashes between Iran and Israel. However, this remained a regional war centered on Palestine—a localized conflict, confined to a limited area.
In February 2026, the war in Iran broke out and immediately expanded into a wider war in West Asia. This Iran-centered war in West Asia is not limited to Israel alone but also includes Gulf Arab countries hosting US military bases. The regional war centered on the conflict in Iran is no longer confined to a localized war; it has become a war encompassing the entire West Asian region—a region-wide, all-out war.
The United States is on the back foot in the war in Iran. Although it has secured air and naval superiority with overwhelming military power, it is increasingly being pushed onto the defensive due to Iran’s resolute, determined, and calibrated countermeasures. Iran’s missiles and drones are effectively targeting US bases and key points in Persian Gulf Arab countries—US allies and vulnerabilities—as well as destroying strategic military and political sites in Israel’s capital and major cities.
In particular, Iran’s blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has driven up oil prices sharply, pushing the Trump administration into a corner. Gulf Arab countries are in distress and pressuring the United States, while public opinion within the US is rapidly deteriorating due to soaring oil prices. A war that was initiated to overcome the Trump administration’s political and economic crisis is instead heightening that crisis. The administration, fearing that the war in Iran could become a “second Iraq War” or a “second Afghanistan War,” is attempting to quickly contain the situation. However, it lacks the power to simultaneously restrain Israel’s aggressive push to completely dismantle the Iranian regime and Iran’s life-or-death counteroffensive. Starting a war may be easy, but ending one is never simple.
If the war in East Asia breaks out thereafter, Iran, like Russia would, will abandon its policy of “strategic patience” and shift from defense to offense. In other words, what has been a defensive West Asian war for the survival of Iran and the “Axis of Resistance” will transform into an offensive West Asian war that threatens the very existence of Israel. Iran has long prepared for a protracted war with the United States. This war in Iran is an unprepared war for the US, but a prepared war for Iran.
The war in West Asia accelerates the war in East Asia. If the very existence of the Iranian regime becomes endangered due to the initiation of a full-scale US ground war, the full-scale intervention of NATO forces, and the massive redeployment of US military power from the Western Pacific, China will finally carry out a war in Taiwan. The war in Iran is decisively pushing China toward launching a war over Taiwan.
In 1950, when the United States became bogged down in the Korean War, China immediately annexed Tibet. In 2026, if the US becomes entangled in the war in Iran, China will immediately annex Taiwan. China understands well that impatience is a problem, but so is the wait-and-see approach. Taiwan is at “the core of its core interests” and a “century-long aspiration” of the Communist Party of China. Recently, China has reorganized the Central Military Commission of the Communist Party. From December 29 to 31, 2025, China conducted an unusual and urgent encirclement exercise around Taiwan, and less than a month after the outbreak of the war in Iran, on March 14, 2026, it once again launched threatening military drills targeting Taiwan.
The war in Taiwan by China will immediately lead to a war in the ‘Republic of Korea (ROK)’ by the DPRK. According to the DPRK-China treaty concluded in 1961 between President Kim Il Sung, who visited Beijing, and Premier Zhou Enlai, and reaffirmed in 2019 between President Xi Jinping, who visited Pyongyang, and Chairman Kim Jong Un, if either China or the DPRK wages a war against imperialism, the other will inevitably join.
The imperialist camp attempted to provoke a “Second Korean War” on the Korean Peninsula between September and November, and December 2024, but these were thwarted by DPRK’s deterrence capability, its policy of “strategic patience,” and the heroic resistance of the people in the ‘ROK.’ Now, they are once again instigating a war in East Asia through a new route—via a war in Taiwan followed by a war in the ‘ROK.’
Combining a war in Taiwan with a war in the ‘ROK’ constitutes an East Asian war. Given current trends, the US and Japan will not intervene in these wars. They lack both the will and the capability to do so. The US has long claimed it can simultaneously win wars in two or more theaters, but it has never done so even once. If the wars in Taiwan and the ‘ROK’ are considered as a single theater in East Asia, then alongside the war in Iran, they form two theaters, and with the ongoing war in Ukraine, this becomes three. Moreover, the Iran war has expanded into a broader war in West Asia, and the war in Ukraine is set to expand into a war in Eastern Europe, forming three major theaters of conflict. An imperialist power that has never even secured victory in a single theater has zero chance of winning across all of them. In addition, a war in Central America would emerge as a final theater.
Expand article (part three)
China and the DPRK will seek to conclude operations within three days using tactical nuclear weapons as part of their operational plans. Three days is the cutoff point before external reinforcements can be deployed. While it would be ideal to subdue the enemy without tactical nuclear weapons, if that proves difficult, they will not hesitate to use them. China and the DPRK have long prepared and repeatedly rehearsed three-day military operation plans that include the use of tactical nuclear weapons. The only difference is that China keeps such matters undisclosed, while the DPRK makes them public. In short, a war in East Asia would be an ultra-short war, ending within a matter of days.
If the war in East Asia breaks out, it will become a full-fledged World War 3. With the East Asian war, World War 3 will enter a full-scale phase.
The war in East Asia will be followed by the war in Eastern Europe. If China and the DPRK abandon their policy of “strategic patience” and launch wars over Taiwan and the ‘ROK,’ there is no reason for Russia not to do the same. Since February 2022, Russia has applied the well-known strategy of the attrition warfare from World War 2 in the war in Ukraine for four years; it will now shift to a new, prepared strategy.
Russia will expand the battlefield from the localized area of “Novorossiya” in Ukraine to the broader regions of Eastern and Northern Europe. This is precisely what NATO has long strategically intended through its eastward expansion policy. The expansion of the war in Ukraine into a wider war in Eastern Europe means that Russia will confront NATO forces directly, rather than NATO’s proxy, the Ukrainian military. In other words, the war between Russia and NATO over Ukraine will transition from a proxy war to a direct war.
In the war in Eastern Europe, Russia’s objective would be to incorporate Ukraine and other former Soviet states into the Russian Federation, and to force countries such as Poland in Central Europe and Finland in Northern Europe to withdraw from NATO, rendering them neutral buffer zones. If this objective is achieved, NATO will either be severely weakened or collapse altogether.
Russia will initially employ non-nuclear weapons such as the Oreshnik and will seek to restrain the use of nuclear weapons as much as possible. However, if the war is not concluded in the short term, it will use tactical nuclear weapons without hesitation. No NATO country—including the US, the UK or France—would dare wage a nuclear war against Russia. NATO’s collective defense system will collapse helplessly under Russia’s bold and overwhelming use of tactical nuclear weapons.
The war in Central America would be the final stand. Central America would be the fourth major theater to emerge. While the war in East Asia will be ultra-short-term, the wars in West Asia, Eastern Europe, and Central America are poised to become mid-to-long-term struggles.
The victory of the anti-imperialist camp in the Eastern Hemisphere will powerfully inspire anti-imperialist forces in the Western Hemisphere. Strong anti-imperialist countries like Venezuela and Cuba will abandon humiliating negotiations with the US and fight under a clear banner of anti-imperialism. Nations such as Colombia, Mexico, and Nicaragua will join this current. The anti-imperialist struggle in Central America will expand to South America and evolve into a region-wide resistance by all Latin American peoples.
The US lacks both the will and the capacity to engage in full-scale war, including ground operations, in Central America. Its only option is limited warfare, and even that will become further constrained.
Military and economic support from anti-imperialist powers like Russia, China, and the DPRK will flow in, accompanied by an International Brigade movement reminiscent of the 1936 Spanish Civil War. The defeat of US imperialism in Central America is only a matter of time. Once the fever of anti-imperialism sweeps through Central America, the “Western Hemisphere Fortification” strategy will collapse before it can even truly begin.
As World War 3 intensifies, the imperialist camp will define anti-imperialist countries that inevitably employ tactical nuclear weapons as the “new axis of evil,” thereby completing the “New Cold War” structure.
Even if China, the DPRK, and Russia utilize tactical nuclear weapons in the East Asian and Eastern European theaters, the imperialist camp will remain paralyzed, unable to use tactical nuclear weapons in any theater due to the fear of Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD). Should the US launch any nuclear strike—tactical or otherwise—against China or the DPRK, those nations would immediately carry out retaliatory strikes against the US mainland. The same applies to NATO and Russia. Furthermore, under conditions where the nature of an incoming warhead—whether atomic or hydrogen—is unknown, all parties will assume the worst-case scenario and take corresponding countermeasures. As a result, the US and its allies would be in a position where they cannot utilize any nuclear weapons. Until now, the US has complacently maintained the belief that it could employ nuclear weapons without facing a reciprocal strike, assuming a state of Nuclear Primacy. However, the current reality has become the exact opposite.
Given the assumption that China, the DPRK, and Russia must be the first to employ tactical nuclear weapons, the US and Israel cannot resort to such weapons—even if the war in Iran prolongs and catastrophic consequences accumulate. The moment they use tactical nukes, they lose the ability to frame their opponents as the “new axis of evil.” This has been a consistent strategic calculation of the imperialist camp since the onset of World War 3.
Moving forward, the imperialist camp will prioritize the fortification of the Western Hemisphere under the “New Cold War” framework, while simultaneously attempting to maintain neo-colonial control over countries in Asia and Africa still under their influence. They will desperately struggle to emerge as the final victors—as they did during the Cold War—by leading the race in cutting-edge science and technology, including AI.
However, as anti-imperialist countries emerge victorious in major Eastern theaters, it is unthinkable that other countries in the East or Latin America in the Western Hemisphere will submit to imperialist slavery. In the realm of advanced technology, the anti-imperialist camp holds an absolute advantage, driven by the collective cooperation of the masses and inexhaustible resources.
Faced with the collapse of global hegemony and deepening political and economic crises, the imperialist bloc provoked World War 3 as a last resort through its “New Cold War” stratagem. Yet, this fatal error has only accelerated its ultimate downfall. Those who play with fire will perish by it. The imperialist camp cannot win in even one of the four major theaters. The people united will never be defeated. The final victory of World War 3 belongs to the anti-imperialist camp.