- cross-posted to:
- ukraine@sopuli.xyz
- cross-posted to:
- ukraine@sopuli.xyz
Russia has moved to classify key demographic statistics following a dramatic collapse in its birth rate, which has plunged to levels not seen since the late 18th or early 19th century, according to a leading Russian demographer.
For decades, Russia has been experiencing a plunging birth rate and population decline, which appears to have worsened amid its ongoing invasion of Ukraine—with high casualty rates and men fleeing the country to avoid being conscripted to fight.
Projections estimate that Russia’s population will fall to about 132 million in the next two decades. The United Nations has predicted that in a worst-case scenario, by the start of the next century, Russia’s population could almost halve to 83 million.
it was 144mil a couple years ago.
2-3 millions are dead or have fled for what I know.
But a birthrate at 1.5? That’s bad news, 0.6 lower than the replacement level (2.1) so every new generation will be 30% smaller!
Military losses are not deaths. Deaths are only a fraction of losses.
True, but 2-3 millions have died or fled the country.
Deaths are estimated between 100k and 200k. People who fled could return, those are reversible.
Dude these numbers smells like Kremlin’s ass, you better back them up well if you want me to believe them.
Also why on earth would people go back to Russia? Except like holidays.
BBC estimates between 164,223 to 237,211 killed
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c5yg4z6v600o
Why go back? Family, home, property…
Oh that’s okay then (BTW what a precice number, 164223 to 237211. It is more like 400.000)? The other 800.000 are just crippled invalides nothing to see here, casualties arent going home to work.
I specifically said they’d only go home on holidays so you couldn’t pull the “go home to family”, but you still did.
Several Millions of young russians are gone from russia forever, and their demographics will kill the country if the economy doesn’t.
80 million habitants at the end of the century. Oil & gas no longer relevant. Good riddance IMO.
I agree on the good riddance, but many people are very close to family, have aging parents that require care, don’t want to live abroad… Just because you wrote some words it doesn’t change reality. Many Russians will stay abroad. Many will return. 50/50, 95/5, only time will tell.