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Cake day: 14. August 2024

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  • No it only applies to books because books have an entirely different legal system than everything else.

    SCOTUS case: White-Smith Music Publishing Co. v. Apollo Co. (1908) created a new issue for the Government about copying people’s printed works.

    Copyright Act of 1909 is passed. New framework is established, books get an entirely different legal system from everything else. Publishers lobbied to prevent it’s passage and fought it especially hard in the Great Depression because libraries were becoming very popular during that time.

    But printed books have a whole different thing that applies to them that doesn’t apply to anything else. So you can’t use “physical medium” because books are a special case and have their own special US law.

    For books, transformative, has to deal with the intent.

    • Book - I want to read them.
    • Anthropic - I want to convert it to weights for use in massive matrix multiplication operations.

    Since the intent is different, the book first sale doctrine applies here to grant transformative. Which is but just one pillar in their defense.

    Same goes for what Google did like a decade ago.

    • Book - I want to read them.
    • Google - I want to convert it to a searchable database of terms that can refer you to the correct ISBN.

    And transformative applies too to things like DVDs, it’s just under a different framework known as the DMCA.

    • DVD - I want to watch the movie.
    • MP4 - I want to watch the movie.

    That’s not transformative.

    • DVD - I want to watch the movie.
    • MP4 - I want to take clips to make memes.

    That is transformative. And again, transformative is but one thing out of the whole “fair use” thing.

    This is the thing. Those news articles are oversimplifying a massive amount of legal technicalities. I’m not saying what Anthropic is doing is correct or not. What I am saying is that the conclusion that people are getting from these stories is like the last 10% of a massively technical legal battle. And running with that small amount can lead to conclusions that aren’t true.

    And I know someone is going to bring it up. No you aren’t LEGALLY allows to rip a copy of a DVD for your personal use. Violates the DMCA. BUT in order to sue you, a publisher has to know ahead of time before discovery, that you broke their encryption scheme, which if you only keep it personally, is impossible for them to ever enforce. So we have a law that is written in a way, that if you never put it online, it’s impossible to enforce the law. As a summary of how all that works.


  • It won’t matter the AI or not at this point. This has baked and changed production so much that even if AI fell out tomorrow, it’d take years to retool and undo the amount of tooling chip makers have done to commit HBM DRAM.

    Like a lot of the tooling that was done was done on the back of speculation. Now that it’s done, undoing it would cost a fortune and that price is going to be amortized by the customer. And since we’ve baked this new higher price for so long, it’s going to take forever to cool it back off.

    AI or not, these prices are the new normal price. Things like ARM desktops, those are going to be the average consumer computer. Things with discrete GPUs and RAM that is user serviceable, that’s becoming niche. There’s already been way too much investment in that direction to go back at this point. I mean you even look at DDR6 desktops, CAMM2 is the compromise normal there too. You don’t buy 4x8GB, you buy a 32GB block, that’s it. You have the one slot, that’s it.

    The AI thing, it’s just pushed a lot of other things past the point of return. While there might be some reduction after the fall of AI, even if chip makers swapped back to desktop product as fast as they can, they’ve invested so deeply into AI, that fast as they can is years before consumers will ever see relief, if ever.

    At this point, I see PCs adopting the Apple way of putting it all in a single chip approach. Just because, that’s where a lot of investment has already gone and if RAM tanks, they’ll want to hold onto whatever investments they’ve already made rather try and blaze a new path.





  • So the case is EMALS had a few corners cut when it was put in. Long story short it’s isolation issues. The old steam systems could isolate a track, the electrical system is just one big unified thing. So on steam, a track goes down they can just turn off that track and keep launching on the others. On the electrical one track goes down, they have to shut the whole thing off, zero aircraft get launched.

    There’s already contracts to fix this issue being put out. But this happens with Government projects. Corners get cut to hit a deadline, those cut corners then come back to haunt everyone.

    And the thing is what the Government sees isn’t the whole picture. They’re looking at the metric of “number of planes system got into the air”. Which I’m sure we all understand averages here. If a system is getting a 0/hour when one track goes down, that zero brings that average down hard.

    But very few want to go back to steam. It’s very costly, requires a lot of very specialized equipment to house all the high pressure systems, and some drones we toss into the air with these systems aren’t made to take the sudden thrust steam gives it. The EMALS system can give a very clean and well defined ramp up for thrust that drone engineers can build around.

    But this is one of those things where some wise guy’s cut corners idea starts to threaten a full project because people start getting all worried about sunk costs and what not. But the electrical system is flawed, but we can work around those flaws to bring better isolation to it. It’s just going to take time because… you know, it’s a military vessel, it’s kind of hard to be like “let’s just drag it out of an active war zone and dry dock it for half a year.” Clocks tick differently on projects like that.

    But going back to steam, and to be fair it took a while to properly develop those systems as well, is less than ideal. It’s got a much high cost and takes a whole lot more maintenance to keep running. And some aircraft we’d have to yank off duty and fix them to handle steam’s level of yeeting things. But Congress and what not aren’t looking at that dollar metric, they’re mostly focused on “how many aircraft did the system on average get into the air?”

    But to be fair here, we are talking about some dude who decided to level an entire wing of the White House before actually going through any kind of approval or formalizing any kind of plan. So… He’s consistent in that whole doing shit and thinking about it later.




  • The issue between the two systems is isolation. In the old C-13 series if one track needed repair, you have to shut steam off to that track. The rest can keep going. In the EMALS there’s just the one centralize power architecture, so if a track has to go down, it takes the whole thing down with it.

    Few really want to return to steam. It requires a lot of the ship to house special high pressure equipment and requires more maintenance overall to keep it running. Additionally, a lot of the drones designed need the precise control that the EMALS provides to not break apart. But it’s hard to point out all the various tooling that has to go on behind the scenes when one track goes down with steam, when the whole effing thing with EMALS has to go down and no launching happens for hours.

    And that’s ultimately what happens, the metrics that are being used are getting aircraft into the air, not overall downtime or cost to operate. And EMALS is still struggling to hit the numbers it has to hit and likely won’t hit them till around 2030. Every time it goes down, every zero aircrafts it gets pulls that metric down hard.


  • Okay. The bill is an interesting one. It does have the side effect that it will significantly damage independent courier services. Which, New York City being New York City and all, they’ve got a lot of two or three employee ran courier services.

    I get what the ultimate goal here is. Amazon would then have to pay particular wages, insurance, 401(k) options, etc. That’s a great goal. But Amazon contracts a lot in NYC. Which means the courier business in NYC isn’t owned completely by a single entity, now the primary customer of that industry is one really big company, but Amazon doesn’t own any of those couriers.

    What this will do, is force Amazon to buy all of them out. Hire the employees and give benefits. But it will also mean that Amazon owns most of the NYC courier service in the city at that point. Now obviously, it’s better for Amazon if they don’t have to have employees and just subcontract, but push come to shove, if they have to by law take stake, they’re going to want to own all of it. And when Mamdani is gone, they’ll have a unique position to convince a Mayor from the other side to pull the ladder up.

    Now all of this is just me thinking out loud. Don’t take any of this with any significant grain of salt. I get what the goal is here, I’m cool with that. But forcing Amazon into the courier service in NYC and take ownership, I can’t imagine them wanting to play fair once they get in. And this honestly relies on a lot of the “new invented” local union that this would create to mitigate a lot of issues.

    I get the goal, I’m just thinking concentrating Amazon into pure entity that dominates entirely a local industry is asking for trouble. Maybe I’m being cynical.




  • I think people forget how that chapter turned out.

    • First French Revolution (1789–1792): Absolute monarchy collapses; replaced by a shaky constitutional monarchy.
    • National Convention (1792–1795): Republic declared; quickly devolves into the Reign of Terror (1793–1794).
    • The Directory (1795–1799): Moderates take over; heavily corrupt and universally disliked.
    • The Consulate (1799–1804): Napoleon overthrows the Directory in a military coup.
    • First French Empire (1804–1814): Napoleon crowns himself Emperor and invades Europe.
    • Battle of Waterloo (1815): Napoleon’s final “Hundred Days” comeback fails; exiled for good.
    • Bourbon Restoration (1814–1830): The old royal family returns to the throne.
    • The July Revolution (1830): A 3-day revolt replaces the Bourbons with a more liberal cousin, King Louis-Philippe.
    • The February Revolution (1848): The king is ousted; Louis-Napoléon is democratically elected President of the Second Republic.
    • Second French Empire (1852–1870): Louis-Napoléon pulls a family tradition, ends the Republic, and becomes Emperor Napoleon III.
    • Third French Republic (1870–1940): Napoleon III is captured by Prussia; France sets up a highly unstable parliamentary democracy.
    • Vichy France (1940–1944): Nazi puppet state led by Marshal Pétain during WWII.
    • Provisional Government (1944–1946): De Gaulle cleans up the post-war mess and restores basic laws.
    • The Fourth Republic (1946–1958): A weak, hyper-unstable republic that collapses during the Algerian crisis.
    • The Fifth Republic (1958–Today): De Gaulle writes a new constitution with a strong President. See EZPZ!

    I think people tend to forget that it was a very long 169 years from bopping off rich people’s heads to stable government. Millions of people died in senseless acts of violence along the way. Whispers were treated as fact and rumors as final judgement. It was an absolute terrible time.



  • She’s concerned the criticism of Israel

    The well deserved criticism of Israel that Israel continues to do nothing about it. Benjamin Netanyahu has been formally indicted and stands trial for corruption, yet he has manipulated his Government to stay in power for an undemocratically long amount of time. So let’s call it what it is, he’s a dictator. And he’s having to use military might to remain in power. He’s having to use consistent fear of invasion to remain in power.

    Let’s look pass the millions of innocent people he’s killed, the children, the women, the elderly, he has slaughtered. Let us look solely at the objective which is, that man has clung to power long outside the rule of law established would have allowed him to remain in power. If it walks like a duck, if quacks like a duck, and it bites the shit out of everyone like duck, then it’s likely a dictator using religious identity to hide behind.

    People are concerned that antisemitism might get a platform. But look at the demonstration the Jewish people are giving for this “exemplar” of the Judaism state. The religion manifest as a Governing body of it’s people. Like if your friend was taking you to “this great restaurant” and you get there and there’s people stumbling out of it and shitting their pants and the whole place looks like a hurricane hit it. I mean you’re going to be thinking twice about your friend’s recommendation. And then when you look it all over and go “I don’t think I want to eat here” they reply with “WELL YOU’RE JUST BEING ANTISEMITIC!” Well then, who fucking is pushing who away?

    if the current political scene does not provide a good framing of Israel criticism

    It’s nobody’s but Israel’s to fix. The US ain’t the fucking PR team for foreign nations. And it’s stupid to think it ought to be. All it has done so far for the United States to step up for Israel is to make the US look like an idiot. “Oh no, Israel would never bomb a school…” And then we’re watching videos of them doing exactly that. And then that just makes the US look like a fucking idiot.

    If Israel is concerned about their bad image, I wonder what they could possibly do about it? I don’t know, maybe address the despot in power at the moment? That’s the thing. The US is seeing their own dictator trying to rise up and how awesome that’s going for them. So then they look at Israel and how freely their despot runs around, we know the game. He’s running around freely because the majority of the population is now blown out Likud, the Israeli MAGA elites basically.

    Netanyahu is getting his hall pass on the Jewish equals rich fuckheads that keep saying “oh no we are here to save the little guy!” All the while they pop their data centers, take our electricity, take our water, fuck our trade, fuck our farmers with that trade, fuck our grocery prices, fuck our gasoline prices, tear down our education, tear down our hospitals, and so on. MAGA is Likud, that’s who they are patterned after. And we see what MAGA is doing for all of us and how hard we have to push back, to the point they fucking shoot people in the back of head in the middle of the Streets here in the United States. So when Netanyahu walks so freely around, we here in the US know, 90% of the Israeli population that permits that and there’s little to no push back in that nation. Yeah, they are holding up someone running a nation who should be in prison right now.

    You don’t even need to consider the massive genocide that Israel has done so far. That country has abandoned every single principal the United States ought to stand for. A country ruled by law, where all are judged the same, where elections matter, and the people’s voices are heard. Israel does this shit to themselves. If they are that concerned, maybe start with some political reforms (that they entirely control) so that they look less like a dictatorship and more like this so called Democracy they keep saying they are.

    It’s not up to anyone else but Israel to deal with their image. If they want to be the Jewish ethnostate, if they want to be what people think of when someone thinks Jews, then it’s on THEM to deal with the fallout from the fact that their government is 100,000% completely fucked at the moment. And is being ran by a criminal who is being kept in power by rich elites and fear. And you know, it’s something that the United States is getting to see firsthand, so our appetite for other nations doing it gets reduced down a bit. See MAGA hurts the Israelis the most. Because there’s only so much Trillionaires running the nation that common people from all walks of life are willing to put up with, no matter their political affiliation. See if it was all just in Israel with the Likud, we’d have the room for it on our plate. But since MAGA has come in and started showing everyone how amazing greedy fucksticks run things, we’ve got a bit less room now.


  • See entry level people believe it’s fundamentals. Smarter people understand that it’s reading people and knowing when they’re dumb enough to invest and knowing when to bail before they wise up. So if you think about it in those respects, it is indeed an honest to goodness “real” thing. People are really being ripped off by con-artist.

    But yeah, the days of the 1890s to 1930s of structured investment, measured risk, and mitigation of the unforeseen, those days are dead. There aren’t market fundamentals outside of being able to identify rubes.


  • That whole hearing was exactly the textbook of cruel trilemma.

    The fifth amendment was something created to prevent the situation that arose in 17th century England with being forced to take an ex officio oath. Putting them into a situation where:

    • You either incriminate yourself to some crime
    • Commit perjury by not sticking to a record that you may have forgotten
    • Be held in contempt because your service bars silence

    In Brown v. Walker (1896) the US created a case law that took the traditional meaning of the fifth to a new level that allowed twisting of it’s words. In that case, anyone given an unconditional pardon could not self-incriminate, and since the fifth had (in their opinion) a requirement that protection only extended to self-incrimination, those with a pardon couldn’t invoke the fifth for things they have been pardon for.

    It is this that creates the new modern US cruel trilemma.

    • You either say something that reveals in some manner a new crime not covered by the pardon
    • You commit perjury by saying something in the record that is held to not match the record for which you were pardoned
    • You are held in contempt because your pardon bars silence

    That is what Fauci walked into. A situation where the legal technicalities had been so twisted that each of his rights both helped and hurt him. There was no correct answer since the deck had been stacked already. This is the same technicalities that were used back in the McCarthyism days. People wonder why people would willingly go to testify in front of the Senate and not just remain silent? Because the Senate had twisted the legal framework such that there were no options open to people.