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openpgp4fpr:E0C3497126B72CA47975FC322953BB8C16043B43
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Joined 6 months ago
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Cake day: October 7th, 2024

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  • This is due to a few people in power, not because of tsunamis etc. So this can switch over in just a day.

    In my view, the damage is very real and businesses will keep suffering even if Trump winds down his tariff ambitions, because the uncertainty and unpredictability hinder investment decisions. For example, if you managed an aluminium business like Alcoa, would you put up the cash to set up new smelters in the US despite melting stock prices, high borrowing costs and the possibility that the tariffs shielding those US smelters from foreign producers are reduced or even scrapped altogether without warning? Many businesses are “damned if they do, damned if they don’t”.

    I’m sure there are smart plays in this market, but I’m also convinced that we’ve entered a bear phase.






  • Interesting to note that since 2022, he lost under 1% of his population to the war… Meat attacks could go on for years on end and it would barely move him.

    If that “1% of his population” refers to the general population, I would note that the total includes many people who could never fight, such as:

    • all those involved, whether directly or indirectly, in the development and production of military hardware,
    • all those involved, whether directly or indirectly, in the extraction and trade of natural resources, without which the Russian economy would collapse, and
    • all those physically unable to fight, such as children, the elderly and disabled people, and all those who care for them in one way or another.

    As much as Putin’s tyranny may yet squeeze out of the general population, 1% in three years is already devastating, in my view.