Only Bayes Can Judge Me

  • 6 Posts
  • 46 Comments
Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: July 4th, 2023

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  • The comments are fun. Here’s the pinned comment, authored by the video’s author:

    I’m not the best at thinking on the fly, so here are two key points I tried to make that got a little lost in the discussion:
    1. I think our entire disagreement rests on Eliezer seeing increasingly refined AI conclusively making the jump to actual intelligence, whereas I do not see that. I only see software that mimics many observable characteristics of intelligence and gets better at it the more it’s refined.
    2. My main point of the stuff about real v. fake + biological v. machine evolution was only to say that just because a process shares some characteristics with another one, other emergent properties aren’t necessarily shared also. In many cases, they aren’t. This strikes me as the case for human intelligence v. machine learning.

    MY CONCLUSION
    By the end, I honestly couldn’t tell if he was making a faith-based argument that increasingly refined AI will lead to true intelligence, despite being unsubstantiated OR if he did substantiate it and I was just too dumb to connect the dots. Maybe some of you can figure it out!

    Here’s my favourite:

    ā€œOoh Ross making an interview!ā€
    5 minutes in
    ā€œOoh Ross is making an interview Neil Breen of AIā€.