U.S. intelligence raises fears of civil unrest and state breakdown in Israel ahead of October 27 elections.

  • Sunflier@lemmy.world
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    19 hours ago

    Israel is at risk of civil war or state collapse, a classified CIA assessment warns, as years of genocide in Gaza and war in Lebanon and Iran deepen political, economic, and social fractures within the country.

    The August report, titled “Fracture From Within,” was compiled by experts in the CIA’s Red Cell, according to two U.S. sources who described the contents of the report to Drop Site News. The Red Cell, which is the unit responsible for providing “alternative analysis” within the agency, produced the assessment through a combination of open source information and U.S. intelligence. The assessment appears to refer only to Israel’s Jewish citizens and does not consider its Palestinian citizens, who make up approximately 20% of Israel’s population and who live under various forms of discrimination that Amnesty International and other human rights groups have labelled as part of a broader system of apartheid. The CIA did not respond to a request for comment.

    CIA experts pointed to a volatile mix of pressures converging ahead of Israel’s elections on October 27: economic crisis and soaring military spending; heavily armed veterans returning from prolonged combat, many carrying serious psychological trauma; growing fury over ultra-Orthodox men who are exempt from military service; escalating settler violence in the occupied West Bank; and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu fighting to hold onto power and igniting a constitutional crisis.

  • btsax@reddthat.com
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    2 days ago

    The CIA also spent 13 years hunting Radovan Karadžić, a Serbian who was living a public life in Serbia.

  • Avid Amoeba@lemmy.ca
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    3 days ago

    One of the deepest fractures in Israeli politics has emerged not over opposition to the country’s war crimes—but over who is expected to fight and who is exempt.

    In case anyone’s confused the contradictions include regrets over what’s been done in Gaza.

    • NatakuNox@lemmy.world
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      3 days ago

      Yup. Young men pretend to be Haredi for a few years to avoid service so now they only have the ultra theological nuts to draft from.

    • blackshirt@lemmy.world
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      3 days ago

      It’s:

      1. I want war crimes done by ME.

      2. I want war crimes, but just enjoy watching not risking my life on them.

  • njm1314@lemmy.world
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    3 days ago

    CIA reports what Isreal wants them to report. So Netanyahu wants you to think the country is close to collapse. So that he can justify emergency powers to keep himself in power indefinitely.

    • ripcord@lemmy.world
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      3 days ago

      That’s what I said, out loud, as the comments loaded, right at the instant before this popped up.

  • blackshirt@lemmy.world
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    3 days ago

    “As we’re moving forward with further integrating our military-industrial capacity with them, there’s deep frustration that we’re doing this for a country that dragged us into a war we’re losing, a country that spies on us.”

    Then fucking stop!

  • finallymadeanaccount@lemmy.world
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    3 days ago

    Total collapse? Oh, no. Golly, how awful! I mean, gosh and gee whillikers, I sure hope that doesn’t happen. I hope it a lot.

    Oh, wait …

  • magnetosphere@fedia.io
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    3 days ago

    Well, I predict LOTS of civil wars in LOTS of places, especially as the environment collapses and basic needs aren’t met.

  • LemUser@lemmy.world
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    3 days ago

    Over what? Half the country likes genocide and the other half likes genocide, too? All these terrorist countries like Israel, the USA and Russia can all go to hell.

      • blackshirt@lemmy.world
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        3 days ago

        I think it’s more of a one side wants to genocide and participate in it and the other prefers to just watch and not enlist and risks itself.

    • SpacemanSpiff@lemmy.zip
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      3 days ago

      This is exactly what I thought. What are they going to fight about exactly? Who gets to genocide the locals first? In Israel you have the far right and the farrer right